UPDATE
https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/eus6sJ_eGK8
https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/ZVry6PeYLo0
i think Ukraine should use the winter to really smash Wagner with artillery
Wagner are the key to cutting off the supply line to Crimea
but dont split the front into 2 fronts
use artillery to hit the airports and keep up the air defense because if wagner collapses russia will probably try air strikes
then once wagner is smashed drive in from the north against the russian border which will give the orcs in crimea too far to go to reinforce and attack ukraine from behind
& kherson can target any orcs trying to move north to attack ukraine from behind
the big risk is splitting the front and needing to deploy more ukrainians to defend 1 front while the other advances in the opposite direction.
this will expose the right flank to russian air attack and i dont know if ukraine has the equipment to make a 3rd front defending the eastern border to russia
so i think smash wagner where they sit
then start to push in the north to really hammer any incoming supply with lots of air defense
wagner is the weak spot
smash them and its a long way for orcs to re supply the area from either north or south or east & they likely wont be doing that when its the middle of winter & if they do it will make their troop concentration movements open targets for himars
putin is trying to use the russian orthadox church to install the war mentality into the people so they will choose to fight.
with such massively high russian casualties who ever takes over from putin will be forced to withdraw hopefully.